⅔think in odds.
THE DAILY PROBABILITY PUZZLEOctober 15, 2026 · ET
No. 022Bayesian reasoningMedium6 min

A green ball: which box?

You choose one of two boxes by flipping a fair coin. Box A has 2 green and 8 red balls. Box B has 8 green and 3 red balls.

You draw one ball at random from your chosen box. It is green. Given that, what is the chance you chose box A?

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