⅔think in odds.
THE COMPLETE ARCHIVE9 puzzles · no spoilers

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Every released puzzle. Newest first. Filter by topic.

9 puzzles

No. 009

How long until a six?

Roll a fair die until the first six.

Expected valueEasy
No. 008

One green ball changes the odds

A bag contains 10 balls. Its number of green balls K is chosen uniformly from 0 through 10; the rest are red. You draw a ball uniformly, see green, and set it aside.

Bayesian reasoningMedium
No. 007

A boy born on Tuesday

Choose a family uniformly from all two-child families, then keep only families with at least one boy born on a Tuesday.

Conditional probabilityMedium
No. 006

Put the champion in the middle?

You must win two consecutive matches out of three. Your opponents are your teacher and a tennis champion. You can play teacher–champion–teacher, or champion–teacher–champion.

StrategyMedium
No. 005

Heads, then tails

Flip a fair coin until heads–tails appears in consecutive flips.

Expected valueEasy
No. 004

The higher of two dice

Roll two fair six-sided dice. Your score is the larger number.

Expected valueEasy
No. 003

The coin with two heads

Choose uniformly among a fair coin, a two-headed coin, and a two-tailed coin. Flip it once and observe heads.

Bayesian reasoningEasy
No. 002

At least one boy

A two-child family is selected uniformly, then filtered to keep only families with at least one boy.

Conditional probabilityEasy
No. 001

The door you did not choose

Three doors hide one prize. You choose a door. A host who knows the prize location opens another door with no prize, then offers you the remaining closed door.

Conditional probabilityEasy