⅔think in odds.
THE DAILY PROBABILITY PUZZLENovember 8, 2026 · ET
No. 046Conditional probabilityMedium6 min

Only one hit, given a hit: 3 attempts

3 attempts each succeed with a chance of 1/5. You learn there was at least one success.

What is the chance there was exactly one?

Work it out (optional)
PreviousReleased 2026-11-08Next puzzle