⅔think in odds.
THE DAILY PROBABILITY PUZZLEOctober 30, 2026 · ET
No. 037Continuous probabilityMedium6 min

Will any café customer order tea?

Customers arrive at a café at a steady average rate of 3 per hour. The number arriving in an hour follows a Poisson model, so it varies from hour to hour.

Each arriving customer orders tea with a 1 in 5 chance, independently of everyone else. What is the chance that no customer orders tea in the next hour?

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