⅔think in odds.
THE DAILY PROBABILITY PUZZLENovember 10, 2026 · ET
No. 048Bayesian reasoningHard8 min

Unknown bag: 1 green, 1 red observed

A bag has 8 balls. The number of green balls is picked at random from 0 through 8, with equal chances. The rest are red. You draw 2 balls and leave them out of the bag. You get 1 green and 1 red.

What is the chance the next draw is green?

Work it out (optional)
PreviousReleased 2026-11-10Next puzzle