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THE DAILY PROBABILITY PUZZLEOctober 18, 2026 · ET
No. 025Conditional probabilityMedium6 min

Will the last passenger get their seat?

A plane has 100 passengers and 100 assigned seats, numbered 1 through 100. They board in number order. Passenger 1 ignores their assignment and picks any seat at random.

Each later passenger takes their assigned seat if it is free. Otherwise, they pick a free seat at random.

What is the chance passenger 100 gets seat 100?

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